Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 27

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Luftëtari Gjirokastër		Apolonia Fier

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.45	4.85
	1.63	3.64	4.61
	1.63	3.65	4.70	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.61	3.55	5.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.7)	3.54 ↑ (2.8)	4.8 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luftëtari Gjirokastër
55.6%

Draw
25.6%

Apolonia Fier
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

32.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

31.6%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luftëtari Gjirokastër has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luftëtari Gjirokastër's performance.

Apolonia Fier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Apolonia Fier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luftëtari Gjirokastër than the current prediction. (-22.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luftëtari Gjirokastër that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apolonia Fier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Apolonia Fier Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luftëtari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Luftëtari (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Luftëtari (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Asllanaj E. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Ziaj A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 1, Ikeocha P. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Ndubuisi E. ⚽,

Preview

Luftëtari has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Apolonia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Luftëtari might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luftëtari won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Luftëtari won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luftëtari Gjirokastër
Albanian First Division
14.03.26	Lushnja - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Kukësi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Laçi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Kastrioti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLLW
- Apolonia Fier
Albanian First Division
14.03.26	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Laçi - Apolonia Fier	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
29.11.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Apolonia Fier	0:2
30.08.25	Apolonia Fier - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:1
Albanian Cup
12.02.20	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Apolonia Fier	0:0

Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Apolonia Fier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide