Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadiumi Loni Papuciu (Fier)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Apolonia Fier		Korabi Peshkopi

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.4	6.1
	1.54	3.65	5.39
	1.52	3.5	6.37	Watch
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.54	3.73	6.04	Watch
	1.55	3.33	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)	3.5 (3.5)	5.87 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apolonia Fier
58.9%

Draw
25.8%

Korabi Peshkopi
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apolonia Fier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Korabi Peshkopi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korabi Peshkopi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Apolonia Fier - Korabi Peshkopi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Xhika S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 2, Morina I. ⚽,
79', 0 - 3, Marku T. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 9 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 2.

Apolonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Korabi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Korabi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Apolonia is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Apolonia will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Apolonia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apolonia Fier
Albanian First Division
07.12.25	Kastrioti - Apolonia Fier	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Apolonia Fier - Besa Kavajë	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Apolonia Fier	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Kukësi	2:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW
- Korabi Peshkopi
Albanian First Division
07.12.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Laçi	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Kastrioti	3:2 ✺
28.11.25	Besa Kavajë - Korabi Peshkopi	3:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Pogradeci - Korabi Peshkopi	4:3 ✺
Albanian First Division
08.11.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Kukësi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
30.03.25	Apolonia Fier - Korabi Peshkopi	3:0
17.03.24	Apolonia Fier - Korabi Peshkopi	1:1
26.11.23	Apolonia Fier - Korabi Peshkopi	2:2
13.09.23	Korabi Peshkopi - Apolonia Fier	0:1
06.02.23	Apolonia Fier - Korabi Peshkopi	1:1
Albanian Super League
23.05.22	Korabi Peshkopi - Apolonia Fier	3:2
Albanian First Division
16.04.22	Korabi Peshkopi - Apolonia Fier	0:0

Apolonia Fier - Korabi Peshkopi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide