Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Aprilia		Notaresco

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.15
	2.65	3.15	2.42
	2.61	3.22	2.51
	2.88	3.25	2.2
	2.68	3.28	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.91)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	2.34 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aprilia
32.9%

Draw
28.3%

Notaresco
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.9%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

20.6%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aprilia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notaresco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aprilia - Notaresco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A).

Recent matches Aprilia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Nicolò Notaresco in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

San Nicolò Notaresco will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aprilia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group F
07.03.21	Aprilia - Matese	0:0 ✺
03.03.21	Recanatese - Aprilia	1:4
28.02.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Aprilia	3:2 ✺
24.02.21	Aprilia - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Campobasso - Aprilia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLTL
- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
07.03.21	Roma City - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	Notaresco - Tolentino	2:2 ✺
28.02.21	Notaresco - Olympia Agnonese	2:0 ✺
24.02.21	Rieti - Notaresco	2:3 ✺
14.02.21	Notaresco - Porto SantElpidio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
22.11.20	Notaresco - Aprilia	5:0

Aprilia - Notaresco

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Aprilia - Notaresco Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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