Match Info
Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Aprilia |
|
Matese |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.85 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.34 |
2.9 |
2.95 |
|
 |
2.42 |
3.01 |
3.18 |
|
 |
2.38 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.4 |
3.18 |
2.87 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.5) |
3.04 ↓
(3.3) |
2.88 ↑
(2.7) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aprilia
38.3% | Draw
30% | Matese
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Matese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aprilia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matese than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Aprilia - Matese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8). Recent matches Aprilia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Matese is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5). Aprilia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Recently Aprilia have a series of guest games. The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Aprilia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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