Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Aprilia		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.88	3.15	3.55
	1.92	3.03	3.32
	1.98	3.34	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)	3.14 ↑ (3.03)	3.46 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aprilia
46%

Draw
28.3%

Ostia Mare
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

21.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aprilia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ostia Mare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aprilia - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Aprilia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aprilia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Aprilia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group G
21.11.21	Giugliano - Aprilia	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Aprilia - Cynthialbalonga	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Insieme Formia - Aprilia	0:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Cynthialbalonga - Aprilia	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
30.10.21	Aprilia - Lanusei	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLW
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
21.11.21	Ostia Mare - Carbonia	2:2 ✺
14.11.21	Vis Artena - Ostia Mare	0:3 ✺
31.10.21	Muravera - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Ostia Mare - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Arzachena - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
03.11.19	Aprilia - Ostia Mare	1:2
13.01.19	Ostia Mare - Aprilia	0:1
23.09.18	Aprilia - Ostia Mare	3:0
04.03.18	Aprilia - Ostia Mare	2:0
29.10.17	Ostia Mare - Aprilia	0:1

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