Match Info

BRAZIL: Tocantinense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Araguaína		Capital FC

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.65	3.1
	2.28	2.85	3.2
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.28	2.85	3.23
	2.28	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)	3.17 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araguaína
39.9%

Draw
31.6%

Capital FC
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

33.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araguaína has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Capital FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araguaína than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital FC than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Araguaína - Capital FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Casimiro ⚽,
45+2', Neto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 1 - 1, Cairo Muniz ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tocantinense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tocantinense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Araguaína could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Capital FC have a series of home games.

Araguaína will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Araguaína won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Araguaína won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araguaína Futebol e Regatas
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
15.03.25	Capital FC - Araguaína	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Araguaína - Tocantinópolis	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	União Carmolandense - Araguaína	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Araguaína - Tocantins	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Bela Vista - Araguaína	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- Capital FC
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
15.03.25	Capital FC - Araguaína	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Capital FC - Tocantinópolis	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Capital FC - Batalhão	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Capital FC - Tocantins	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	União Carmolandense - Capital FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
15.03.25	Capital FC - Araguaína	1:0
30.01.24	Araguaína - Capital FC	1:2

Araguaína - Capital FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide