Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 29

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Arandina		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.5	1.62
	5	3.6	1.66
	5.17	3.55	1.65
	5.17	3.55	1.66
	5.07	3.64	1.65
	4.8	3.5	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↓ (6)	3.56 ↓ (4)	1.65 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
18.5%

Draw
25.8%

Pontevedra
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

22.6%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

22.3%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontevedra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontevedra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arandina - Pontevedra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Arnedo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Atomo 🟥,
88', 1 - 1, Serrano Iranzo G. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Arandina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pontevedra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Pontevedra is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arandina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Arandina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.03.24	Coruxo - Arandina	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Arandina - Guijuelo	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Cayón - Arandina	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Arandina - Langreo	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Valladolid B - Arandina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LLTWW
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.03.24	Pontevedra - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Rayo Cantabria - Pontevedra	2:2 ✺
10.03.24	Pontevedra - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Real Oviedo B - Pontevedra	2:3 ✺
25.02.24	Pontevedra - Zamora	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.11.23	Pontevedra - Arandina	2:0
06.05.17	Pontevedra - Arandina	2:1
11.12.16	Arandina - Pontevedra	0:2
13.03.16	Pontevedra - Arandina	1:0
25.10.15	Arandina - Pontevedra	2:3

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