Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Pontevedra		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.08	3.05	3.5
	2.07	3.22	3.54	Watch
	2.12	3.08	3.53
	2.1	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	3.07 ↓ (3.22)	3.46 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
43.7%

Draw
29.8%

Zamora
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Pontevedra - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marqueta R. (G) 10. Pino Y. (C) 19. Garay B. 23. Montoro A. 4. Bosch M. 8. Abelenda B. 24. Rodriguez T. 16. Vidorreta A. 17. Macias L. 9. Selma D. 11. Cuesta M.	1. Sobron F. (G) 3. Merchan D. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Athuman I. 8. Lucero R. 9. Eslava J. 14. Claveria P. 10. Ramos C. (C) 22. Sancho J. 18. Farrell J. 19. Monerris A.
Substitutes
22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 5. Conesa N. 20. Denia M. 2. Eimil V. 3. Exposito A. 30. Gil R. 7. Gonzalez A. 15. Juanra 32. Mendez I. 14. Resende J. 6. Ribeiro A. 1. Sousa E. (G)	17. Carbonell J. 20. Codina M. 6. Garcia M. 7. Kike 23. Lopez S. 16. Lozano M. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 5. Ruiz E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Montoro A. 🟨,
30', Pino Y. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Pino Y. ⚽,
45+2', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟥,
45+5', Monerris A. ↓, Ruiz E. ↑,
45+5', Bosch M. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Farrell J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bosch M. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
46', Monerris A. ↓, Ruiz E. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Selma D. ⚽,
56', Ramos C. ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
56', Claveria P. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
62', Selma D. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
62', Macias L. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Ribeiro A. ⚽,
68', Pino Y. ↓, Juanra ↑,
73', Farrell J. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Abelenda B. ⚽,
86', Abelenda B. ↓, Comparada Gonzalez A. ↑,
88', Athuman I. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pontevedra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pontevedra might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pontevedra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	UD Ourense - Pontevedra	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.25	Arenteiro - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Pontevedra - Osasuna B	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Pontevedra - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTLW
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.25	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Ponferradina - Zamora	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Zamora - Real Avilés	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Tenerife - Zamora	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Zamora - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.02.24	Pontevedra - Zamora	1:3
15.10.23	Zamora - Pontevedra	0:4
06.02.21	Pontevedra - Zamora	0:1

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