Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3, Sky Sport Mix
Belarus	Sport TV
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 3
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport Mix
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Claro Sports, Disney+
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 3 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	Polsat Box Go, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Ararat-Armenia		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	4.50	3.90	1.73
	4.20	3.90	1.78
	4.60	4.10	1.73
	4.57	3.88	1.79
	4.67	3.95	1.73	Watch
	4.50	3.80	1.76
	4.47	4.00	1.80
	5.00	4.10	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↓ (5.06)	3.95 ↓ (4.16)	1.75 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
21%

Draw
24.2%

Sparta Prague
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

22.9%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	12%	76%

Ararat Armenia - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Ararat-Armenia will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 19 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Sparta Prague (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Ararat-Armenia (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ararat-Armenia (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sparta Prague will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ararat-Armenia (votes: 2 - 25%). Sparta Prague (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 3. Junior Julio 43. Wilson Valdez B. R. 47. Malis A. 16. Grigoryan E. 2. Oliveira H. 19. Muradyan K. (C) 70. Benny 77. Serobyan A. 91. Sandro Lima 11. Banjaqui Z.	44. Surovcik J. (G) 2. Suchomel M. 22. Mbe Soh L. 6. Guddal T. 11. Rynes M. 10. Karabec A. (C) 28. Macek R. 38. Sochurek H. 17. Mercado J. 14. Brunes J. 7. Alcocer J.
Substitutes
10. Ambartsumyan A. 8. Balanta J. A. 17. Carlier M. 9. Eloyan A. 95. Franca Carlos 5. Luis Felipe 25. Ndour A. 1. Nersesyan A. (G) 14. Pereira B. 7. Shaghoyan Z. 20. Tera A.	5. Eneme S. 54. Franc L. (G) 21. Grimaldo J. 47. Hegyi K. (G) 18. Irving A. 31. Jurasek M. 3. Kaderabek P. 27. Singhateh E. 15. Vitalyos V. 29. Vojta M. 26. Vydra P. 30. Zeleny J.
Coaches
Tulipa	Priske B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Guddal T. ⚽, Karabec A. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Guddal T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 3, Mercado J. ⚽, Alcocer J. (A),
55', 1 - 3, Wilson Valdez B. R. ⚽, Sandro Lima (A),
57', Serobyan A. 🟨,
58', Benny ↓, Franca Carlos ↑,
61', Brunes J. ↓, Vojta M. ↑,
61', Sochurek H. ↓, Vydra P. ↑,
69', Mercado J. ↓, Jurasek M. ↑,
69', Karabec A. ↓, Irving A. ↑,
71', 1 - 4, Vydra P. ⚽, Jurasek M. (A),
72', Oliveira H. ↓, Balanta J. A. ↑,
72', Serobyan A. ↓, Shaghoyan Z. ↑,
79', Rynes M. ↓, Zeleny J. ↑,
80', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Ambartsumyan A. ↑,
80', Sandro Lima ↓, Eloyan A. ↑,
88', Grigoryan E. 🟨,
90+1', Muradyan K. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Ararat-Armenia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sparta Prague has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ararat-Armenia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sparta Prague is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Knee Injury) Cobbaut E. (Groin Injury) Hoever K. (Hip Injury) Mannsverk S. (Knee Injury) Martinec J. (Health problems) Penxa O. (Knee Injury) Sevinsky A. (Red Card) Uchenna E. (Groin Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ararat-Armenia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Ararat-Armenia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Sparta Prague: 1.07% Ararat-Armenia: 0.12%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sparta Prague	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
11.09.26	Ararat-Armenia - Syunik	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Ararat - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Universitatea Craiova	1:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
23.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Sardarapat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWT
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
12.09.26	Sparta Prague - Jablonec	2:0 ✺
Czech Cup
09.09.26	Viktoria Žižkov - Sparta Prague	0:5 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
06.09.26	Hradec Králové - Sparta Prague	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Artis Brno - Sparta Prague	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Prague	1:2
07.08.25	Sparta Prague - Ararat-Armenia	4:1

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