Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Football Academy Stadium (Yerevan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Ararat-Armenia		BKMA Yerevan

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	9.8
	1.27	5.5	8.61
	1.27	5.37	8.45	Watch
	1.22	6.3	11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.27)	5.67 ↑ (5.37)	9.47 ↑ (8.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
74.1%

Draw
16.2%

BKMA Yerevan
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

17.1%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

BKMA Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ararat Armenia - BKMA Yerevan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nersesyan A. (G) 8. Balanta J. A. 9. Eloyan A. 16. Grigoryan E. 13. Hovhannisyan K. 3. Junior Julio 19. Muradyan K. (C) 4. Queiros J. 77. Serobyan A. 7. Shaghoyan Z. 20. Tera A.	91. Ghazaryan H. (G) 11. Afyan V. 3. Arakelyan G. 9. Ayvazyan M. 18. Bashoyan L. 22. Hakobyan A. 7. Hovhannisyan N. 5. Manukyan P. 6. Petrosyan A. (C) 10. Petrosyan G. 13. Sargsyan H.
Substitutes
10. Ambartsumyan A. 90. Ayongo P. 17. Gbomadu M. 5. Hakobyan H. 22. Hakobyan M. 99. Joao Lima 36. Makhsudyan V. 47. Malis A. 2. Oliveira H. 24. Pinto B. (G) 30. Ramos R. 88. Welton	35. Alekyan P. 29. Askaryan A. 4. Avetisyan M. 77. Davtyan D. (G) 28. Hakobyan V. 8. Janoyan N. 49. Khachatryan A. 51. Kirakosyan S. 14. Krmzyan P. 42. Sargsyan H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Junior Julio (Own goal),
38', Shaghoyan Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bashoyan L. ↓, Janoyan N. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Petrosyan A. (Own goal),
57', Tera A. ↓, Ambartsumyan A. ↑,
61', Sargsyan H. ↓, Askaryan A. ↑,
66', Eloyan A. ↓, Ayongo P. ↑,
67', Shaghoyan Z. ↓, Gbomadu M. ↑,
85', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Ayongo P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ararat-Armenia won 4.

Ararat-Armenia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

BKMA's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ararat-Armenia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ararat-Armenia won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 39:16. (average 2.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ararat-Armenia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2.5:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
19.10.25	Gandzasar - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ararat-Armenia - Gandzasar	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:2 ✺
25.09.25	Ararat-Armenia - Alashkert	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWT
- BKMA Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
19.10.25	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ararat - BKMA Yerevan	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Pyunik - BKMA Yerevan	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	BKMA Yerevan - Alashkert	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
29.09.25	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:2
18.05.25	Ararat-Armenia - BKMA Yerevan	4:0
02.11.24	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:4
29.09.24	Ararat-Armenia - BKMA Yerevan	2:0
07.05.24	Ararat-Armenia - BKMA Yerevan	4:1
07.03.24	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:1
02.11.23	Ararat-Armenia - BKMA Yerevan	4:1

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