Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Football Academy Stadium (Yerevan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Ararat-Armenia		Noah Yerevan

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.98	2.58
	2.67	3	2.61
	2.74	2.85	2.69	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.62	2.92	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.73)	2.93 ↑ (2.89)	2.59 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
34.2%

Draw
30.9%

Noah Yerevan
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

31.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Ararat Armenia - Noah Yerevan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pinto B. (G) 11. Banjaqui Z. 13. Hovhannisyan K. (C) 3. Junior Julio 47. Malis A. 25. Ndour A. 2. Oliveira H. 4. Queiros J. 77. Serobyan A. 20. Tera A. 88. Welton	29. Coneglian A. (G) 7. Ferreira H. 19. Hambardzumyan H. (C) 47. Jakolis M. 23. Khamoyan A. 32. Mulahusejnovic N. 14. Oshima T. 39. Saintini N. 17. Sangare G. 33. Sualehe D. 44. Zolotic N.
Substitutes
10. Ambartsumyan A. 33. Arrassi B. 90. Ayongo P. 12. Badalyan S. (G) 8. Balanta J. A. 9. Eloyan A. 16. Grigoryan E. 5. Hakobyan H. 36. Makhsudyan V. 19. Muradyan K. 1. Nersesyan A. (G) 7. Shaghoyan Z.	74. Asiryan M. 18. Avanesyan A. 6. Boakye E. 88. Eteki Y. 22. Hakobyan M. 99. Harutyunyan H. 24. Khudaverdyan Z. 10. Manvelyan G. 9. Matheus Aias 11. Oulad Omar I. 92. Ploshchadnyi A. (G) 37. Silva G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Mulahusejnovic N. ⚽, Hambardzumyan H. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Ferreira H. ⚽,
24', Serobyan A. 🟨,
39', Junior Julio ↓, Ambartsumyan A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ndour A. ↓, Ayongo P. ↑,
46', Sangare G. ↓, Boakye E. ↑,
46', Hambardzumyan H. ↓, Manvelyan G. ↑,
61', Tera A. ↓, Muradyan K. ↑,
61', Oliveira H. ↓, Grigoryan E. ↑,
71', Serobyan A. ↓, Hakobyan H. ↑,
75', Mulahusejnovic N. ↓, Matheus Aias ↑,
80', Sualehe D. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Matheus Aias ⚽,
87', Ferreira H. ↓, Eteki Y. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 4, Matheus Aias ⚽, Khamoyan A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ararat-Armenia won 1.

Ararat-Armenia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Noah is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ararat-Armenia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ararat-Armenia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Noah	8	8	0	0	21:5	16	24
2	Ararat-Armenia	8	6	1	1	17:8	9	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
06.05.26	Ararat-Armenia - Pyunik	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:2 ✺
Armenian Cup
29.04.26	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
25.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	4:0 ✺
20.04.26	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWW
- FC Noah Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
06.05.26	Gandzasar - Noah Yerevan	1:4 ✺
03.05.26	Noah Yerevan - Pyunik	0:0 ✺
Armenian Cup
29.04.26	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
25.04.26	Alashkert - Noah Yerevan	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Noah Yerevan - Van	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Cup
29.04.26	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:0
16.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	0:1
Armenian Premier League
01.11.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	1:2
20.09.25	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	2:2
24.05.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:0
Armenian Cup
13.05.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	3:1
Armenian Premier League
04.12.24	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:1

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