Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Football Academy Stadium (Yerevan) 🌤️ ...


	Ararat-Armenia		Noah Yerevan

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	1.95
	3.20	3.25	1.95
	3.47	3.37	2.06
	3.42	3.38	2	Watch
	3.21	3.63	2.08	Watch
	3.40	3.35	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.28)	3.37 ↑ (3.33)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
27.5%

Draw
27.1%

Noah Yerevan
45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

26.2%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ararat-Armenia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Noah Yerevan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ararat Armenia - Noah Yerevan Predictions

Users Predictions: Noah Yerevan will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 8. Balanta J. A. 5. Luis Felipe 47. Malis A. 19. Muradyan K. (C) 2. Oliveira H. 14. Pereira B. 91. Sandro Lima 77. Serobyan A. 7. Shaghoyan Z. 43. Wilson Valdez B. R.	29. Coneglian A. (G) 6. Boakye E. 20. Costache V. 19. Hambardzumyan H. (C) 7. Helder Ferreira 44. Jakolis M. 23. Khamoyan A. 8. Lazetic M. 4. Mambo S. 39. Saintini N. 16. Zdjelar S.
Substitutes
10. Ambartsumyan A. 90. Ayongo P. 6. Ayvazyan M. 70. Benny 17. Carlier M. 9. Eloyan A. 95. Franca Carlos 13. Hovhannisyan K. 23. Hovhannisyan M. 71. Martirosyan A. (G) 1. Nersesyan A. (G)	5. Avetisyan M. 50. Danielyan V. 12. Dombila C. 99. Figueira Daniel (G) 57. Gareginyan A. 9. Gonzalez M. 24. Khudaverdyan Z. 10. Manvelyan G. 14. Oshima T. 21. Pavlovic M. 17. Sangare G. 33. Sualehe D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Sandro Lima ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Khamoyan A. (Own goal),
32', Costache V. ↓, Sualehe D. ↑,
40', Khamoyan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Lazetic M. ⚽,
90', Saintini N. 🟥,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ararat-Armenia won 1.

In recent outings, Ararat-Armenia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Noah shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Noah could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Noah is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ararat-Armenia has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:29 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ararat-Armenia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Noah	11	9	1	1	28:9	19	28
2	Ararat-Armenia	11	8	2	1	21:10	11	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Ararat-Armenia - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Armenian Premier League
18.10.26	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ararat-Armenia	3:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
10.10.26	Ararat-Armenia - Alashkert	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTW
- FC Noah Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
18.10.26	Noah Yerevan - Pyunik	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Sardarapat - Noah Yerevan	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Noah Yerevan - Dinamo Batumi	2:2 ✺
Armenian Premier League
18.09.26	Noah Yerevan - Van	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
10.05.26	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	0:4
Armenian Cup
29.04.26	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:0
16.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	0:1
Armenian Premier League
01.11.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	1:2
20.09.25	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	2:2
24.05.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:0
Armenian Cup
13.05.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	3:1

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