Match Info
Premier League - Round 32Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday
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Fasil Kenema |
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Adama City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.58 |
2.52 |
3 |
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2.84 |
2.32 |
3.26 |
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2.94 |
2.2 |
3.41 |
Watch |
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2.5 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
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2.57 |
2.61 |
3.04 |
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2.34 |
2.92 |
3.05 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.63 ↑ (2.34) |
2.51 ↓ (2.92) |
3.11 ↑ (3.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fasil Kenema 34.6% | Draw 36.2% | Adama City 29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)Fasil Kenema - Adama City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Aman A. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Eyasu T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 67', 2 - 1, Eyasu T. ⚽,
- 90+8', 3 - 1, Zelalem K. ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 0.Fasil Kenema has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Adama City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.2:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 55 |
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| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 46 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 03.01.26 | Adama City - Fasil Kenema | 0:0 | | 15.06.25 | Fasil Kenema - Adama City | 2:2 | | 21.10.24 | Adama City - Fasil Kenema | 1:1 | | 19.04.24 | Fasil Kenema - Adama City | 0:0 | | 10.02.24 | Adama City - Fasil Kenema | 1:1 | | 08.03.23 | Adama City - Fasil Kenema | 2:1 | | 03.10.22 | Fasil Kenema - Adama City | 2:1 |
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