The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hawassa City 23.6%
Draw 33%
Adama City 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
30.9%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
29.9%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawassa City's form might have worsened.
Adama City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adama City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+20.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawassa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adama City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
11.1%
33.3%
Hawassa City - Adama City Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hawassa City will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Adama City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hawassa City: 23.1% โ 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Hussein A. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Hussein A. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Kebede G. ⚽,
24', 1 - 3, Aitken B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 3, Eshetu I. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Hawassa City might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).
Watch
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