Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Arba Minch		Sidama Coffee

	1	X	2
	4.55	2.88	1.85
	4.95	2.95	1.85
	5.1	2.66	1.94	Watch
	4.5	2.75	1.85
	5.16	2.97	1.86	Watch
	3.95	3	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (3.95)	2.87 ↓ (3)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arba Minch
19.4%

Draw
31.9%

Sidama Coffee
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

30.1%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

27.8%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Sidama Coffee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arba Minch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sidama Coffee than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sidama Coffee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Arba Minch - Sidama Coffee Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sidama Coffee will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Tafesse M. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Tafesse M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 3, Ephrem T. (Own goal),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0.

In recent matches, Arba Minch has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sidama Coffee's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sidama Coffee is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sidama Bunna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Arba Minch - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 22.86%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
16.05.26	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Arba Minch - Welayta Dicha	2:3 ✺
05.05.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Arba Minch	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLWTT
- Sidama Coffee FC
Ethiopian Premier League
14.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Sheger Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Saint George - Sidama Coffee	0:0 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
25.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
08.01.26	Sidama Coffee - Arba Minch	0:0
16.06.25	Sidama Coffee - Arba Minch	0:0
03.01.25	Arba Minch - Sidama Coffee	0:1
01.06.23	Sidama Coffee - Arba Minch	1:1
22.12.22	Arba Minch - Sidama Coffee	3:3
14.06.22	Sidama Coffee - Arba Minch	1:2
06.02.22	Arba Minch - Sidama Coffee	1:1

Arba Minch - Sidama Coffee: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide