Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Arba Minch		Ethiopia Nigd Bank

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.7	2.45
	2.98	2.68	2.52
	3.05	2.65	2.57
	3.07	2.72	2.54	Watch
	3	2.5	2.5
	3.07	2.65	2.51	Watch
	2.4	2.88	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.4)	2.68 ↓ (2.88)	2.56 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arba Minch
31%

Draw
33.7%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arba Minch's form might have worsened.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arba Minch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Arba Minch - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
19.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Arba Minch - Saint George	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWLWL
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
18.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sidama Coffee	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Mekelle 70 Enderta	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
19.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	3:1
10.04.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1
03.10.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	3:1
02.04.17	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	1:1
25.12.16	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	2:2

Arba Minch - Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide