Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Hawassa City		Arba Minch

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.78	3.05
	2.41	2.76	3.19
	2.53	2.55	3.35	Watch
	2.3	2.63	3
	2.33	2.75	3.24	Watch
	2.18	2.82	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.18)	2.72 ↓ (2.82)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
38.5%

Draw
33.4%

Arba Minch
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

32.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

33.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Hawassa City - Arba Minch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hawassa City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hawassa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Hawassa City - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Arba Minch - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
09.05.26	Hadiya Hossana - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Hawassa City - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Mechal - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Hawassa City - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLTW
- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
10.05.26	Arba Minch - Welayta Dicha	2:3 ✺
05.05.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Arba Minch	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Arba Minch - Saint George	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
03.01.26	Arba Minch - Hawassa City	0:0
12.05.25	Arba Minch - Hawassa City	0:1
08.12.24	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	0:1
06.07.23	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	1:1
23.02.23	Arba Minch - Hawassa City	1:1
17.05.22	Arba Minch - Hawassa City	2:1
24.12.21	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	1:0

Hawassa City - Arba Minch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide