Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Ethiopia Bunna		Arba Minch

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.82	3.1
	2.31	3	3.24
	2.39	2.87	3.13	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.29	3.12	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.01)	2.91 ↓ (3.17)	3.16 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
39.7%

Draw
31.4%

Arba Minch
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia Bunna's form might have worsened.

Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Bunna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Getachew B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, Yasin Y. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ethiopia Bunna might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ethiopia Bunna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
14.04.26	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopia Bunna	2:2 ✺
08.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWWL
- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
13.04.26	Arba Minch - Saint George	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Adama City - Arba Minch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
07.12.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0
02.06.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0
04.12.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	2:0
19.04.23	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1
27.10.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	2:0
24.06.22	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0
16.02.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	0:1

Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide