The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arbroath 52%
Draw 27.1%
Greenock Morton 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.1%
26.2%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
23.3%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Arbroath - Greenock Morton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th and 10th in the Relegation - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Arbroath (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Greenock is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Arbroath is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Arbroath has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:20 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arbroath against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
Arbroath: 1.23% Morton: 0.42%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Arbroath
9
3
2
4
6:13
-7
11
10
Morton
9
0
1
8
5:17
-12
1
Last Results with these Odds
Greenock Morton - the odds 4.52 are the expected chance of winning is 20.69%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
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