Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Archena Sport		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.6	2.88	2.38
	2.65	3	2.38
	2.6	2.95	2.34
	2.8	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.6)	2.95 (2.95)	2.39 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Archena Sport
33.1%

Draw
30%

Real Murcia B
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

21%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Archena Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Archena Sport than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Archena Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Archena Sport - Real Murcia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).

Archena is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Murcia B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murcia B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Archena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Archena Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
27.02.22	Cartagena FC - Archena Sport	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Archena Sport - Minera	0:3 ✺
13.02.22	El Palmar - Archena Sport	4:2 ✺
06.02.22	Archena Sport - Los Garres	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Archena Sport - Huércal-Overa	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
27.02.22	Real Murcia B - Huércal-Overa	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	UCAM Murcia B - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Caravaca - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Mazarrón - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
24.10.21	Real Murcia B - Archena Sport	2:2

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