Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Real Calepina		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.4	1.88
	3.33	3.53	1.96	Watch
	3.49	3.38	1.93
	3.5	3.4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.92)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Calepina
26.2%

Draw
26.5%

Folgore Caratese
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.7%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Calepina's form might have worsened.

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Folgore Caratese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Folgore Caratese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Campani F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 0.

Recent form of Real Calepina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Folgore Caratese is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Folgore Caratese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Folgore Caratese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Calepina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Folgore Caratese - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.95%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.11.25	Breno - Real Calepina	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Milan Futuro - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Calepina - Oltrepo	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Real Calepina - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Chievo - Real Calepina	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTT
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.11.25	Oltrepo - Folgore Caratese	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Folgore Caratese - Scanzorosciate	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Folgore Caratese	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Folgore Caratese - Breno	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
04.02.24	Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese	0:1
08.10.23	Folgore Caratese - Real Calepina	2:2
12.03.23	Folgore Caratese - Real Calepina	1:1
06.11.22	Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese	1:1
13.03.22	Folgore Caratese - Real Calepina	1:0
31.10.21	Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese	0:1

Upcoming Matches