Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Casatese		Real Calepina

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.15	3.6
	2.06	3.07	3.38
	2.06	3.16	3.45	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	1.96	3.14	3.66
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)	3.07 ↓ (3.48)	3.52 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Casatese
44.9%

Draw
29.4%

Real Calepina
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Real Calepina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Casatese - Real Calepina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Mecca B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casatese won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Casatese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Casatese won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Casatese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Real Calepina	6	2	2	2	11:9	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.02.26	Breno - Casatese	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Casatese - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Milan Futuro - Casatese	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Casatese - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Chievo - Casatese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWTT
- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.02.26	Real Calepina - Castellanzese	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Pavia - Real Calepina	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Real Calepina - Varesina	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Vogherese - Real Calepina	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
12.10.25	Real Calepina - Casatese	0:3
21.02.24	Casatese - Real Calepina	4:2
15.10.23	Real Calepina - Casatese	1:2
06.04.23	Real Calepina - Casatese	0:0
27.11.22	Casatese - Real Calepina	1:0
06.02.22	Casatese - Real Calepina	0:0
03.10.21	Real Calepina - Casatese	0:1

Casatese - Real Calepina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide