The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arda Kardzhali 51.6%
Draw 27.4%
Cherno More Varna 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
28%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
26.7%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
The ML Model estimate for Cherno More Varna aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Arda Kardzhali will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gospodinov A. (G) 21. Velev V. 24. Paskalev M. 44. Traore A. 6. Popov V. 80. Kotev L. 35. Velkovski D. 99. Karagaren B. 91. Ivanov S. 10. Kovachev S. 16. Bachev P.
31. Hristov D. (G) 50. Tombak E. 3. Atanasov Z. 37. Kerchev V. 26. Joao Bandaro 29. Beyhan B. 99. Bounaas I. 7. Barandas M. 11. Achi M. 8. Donchev A. 19. Lazarov G.
Substitutes
26. Akandzha B. 22. Georgiev Y. (G) 11. Kabov A. 5. Lyubenov V. 9. Nikolov G. 18. Vasilev S. 39. Vutov A.
18. Andreev P. 23. Banev M. 89. Kichukov D. 22. Kostadinov N. 34. Mihaylov K. 9. Padilla J. 71. Panayotov V. 17. Tasev I. 14. Todorov A. 81. Tomov K. (G) 93. Ventsislavov G.
Coaches
Tunchev A.
Iliev I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Karagaren B. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
62', Vutov A. 🟨,
63', Bachev P. ↓, Nikolov G. ↑,
63', Traore A. ↓, Lyubenov V. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Lazarov G. ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, Vutov A. ⚽,
78', Velev V. 🟨,
78', Ivanov S. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
79', Atanasov Z. 🟨,
81', Lazarov G. 🟨,
81', Donchev A. ↓, Tasev I. ↑,
81', Beyhan B. ↓, Panayotov V. ↑,
81', Barandas M. ↓, Todorov A. ↑,
86', Paskalev M. 🟨,
88', Atanasov Z. 🟥,
88', Achi M. ↓, Ventsislavov G. ↑,
90+5', Kabov A. 🟨,
90+5', Bounaas I. ↓, Banev M. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 12th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 2.
In recent outings, Arda has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cherno More is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cherno More could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Arda carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Arda has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:21 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arda against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now
Arda: 1.24% Cherno More: 0.23%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Arda
10
5
2
3
15:12
3
17
13
Cherno More
10
1
3
6
11:20
-9
6
Last Results with these Odds
Arda Kardzhali - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.96%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Bulgaria
Croatia
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Gospodinov A. (G) 
Velev V. 
Traore A. 
Joao Bandaro 
Bounaas I. 
Barandas M. 
Achi M. 
Padilla J. 
