Match Info

efbet League - Round 8

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Arena Arda (Kardzhali)

Referee: Velikov M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arda Kardzhali		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.20	4.00	Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.40
	2.08	3.30	3.55
	2.14	3.25	3.82
	2.14	3.16	3.57	Watch
	2.04	3.20	3.75
	1.99	3.18	3.97	Watch
	2.03	3.10	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.93)	3.19 ↓ (3.23)	3.7 (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arda Kardzhali
45.5%

Draw
29.3%

Botev Plovdiv
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

26.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gospodinov A. (C) 6. Popov V. 44. Traore A. 5. Lyubenov V. 21. Velev V. 80. Kotev L. 10. Kovachev S. 8. Yankov D. 91. Ivanov S. 99. Karagaren B. 16. Bachev P.	29. Naumov D. (C) 82. Mendes V. 87. Petrov S. 4. Soldo N. 27. Hein B. 77. Lucas Araujo 10. Chandarov A. 66. Meotti C. 19. Rodrigues M. 90. Kalu S. 13. Tsonov S.
Substitutes
26. Akandzha B. 22. Georgiev Y. (G) 4. Idowu D. 11. Kabov A. 9. Nikolov G. 24. Paskalev M. 18. Vasilev S. 35. Velkovski D. 39. Vutov A.	20. Awany T. 9. Chidera O. M. 88. Chimezie W. 7. Iliev N. 28. Jocu H. 15. Kostov B. 30. Mascote 22. Senger M. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 23. Tonev D. 16. Vidolov V.
Coaches
Tunchev A.	Genchev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Tsonov S. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Tsonov S. ⚽,
43', Kotev L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Meotti C. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
52', Yankov D. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Chandarov A. ⚽,
61', Bachev P. ↓, Nikolov G. ↑,
61', Karagaren B. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
63', Velev V. 🟨,
64', Tsonov S. ↓, Mascote ↑,
74', Chandarov A. ↓, Jocu H. ↑,
74', Chimezie W. ↓, Tonev D. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Velev V. ⚽,
80', Ivanov S. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Vutov A. ⚽,
85', Rodrigues M. ↓, Kostov B. ↑,
85', Tonev D. 🟨,
89', Kovachev S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 2.

Arda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Botev Plovdiv has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arda won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Arda: 1.24% Botev Plovdiv: 0.43%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Arda	10	5	2	3	15:12	3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16:14	2	16

Last Results with these Odds

Arda Kardzhali - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.17%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.08.26	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Dunav Ruse - Arda Kardzhali	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL
- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
30.08.26	Botev Plovdiv - Levski Sofia	1:3 ✺
24.08.26	Botev Vratsa - Botev Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.06.26	Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	2:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
12.05.26	Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	1:2
26.04.26	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	0:2
02.12.25	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	0:0
04.08.25	Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	0:5
09.03.25	Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	1:1
23.09.24	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	1:0

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