Match Info

efbet League - Round 9

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Ticha (Varna)

Referee: Kolev K. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cherno More Varna		Lokomotiv Sofia

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.40	3.00	Watch
	2.25	3.30	2.85
	2.15	3.45	3.25
	2.38	3.45	3.02
	1.87	3.74	3.83	Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.95
	2.18	3.41	3.17	Watch
	2.24	3.25	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.11)	3.43 ↑ (3.43)	3.12 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherno More Varna
42.6%

Draw
27.3%

Lokomotiv Sofia
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Tomov K. (G) 37. Kerchev V. 5. Squadrone L. 3. Atanasov Z. 8. Donchev A. 24. Teles D. 71. Panayotov V. 10. Sidney C. 11. Achi M. 99. Bounaas I. 19. Lazarov G.	99. Velichkov M. (G) 22. Daskalov R. 3. Kostov K. 44. Katsarov B. 14. Lyaskov A. 5. Dost E. 31. Stanoev K. 77. Caue Caruzo 8. Yordanov I. 7. Delev S. 9. Minchev G.
Substitutes
18. Andreev P. 7. Barandas M. 29. Beyhan B. 31. Hristov D. (G) 26. Joao Bandaro 22. Kostadinov N. 13. Nyagolov E. 9. Padilla J. 17. Tasev I. 14. Todorov A. 50. Tombak E.	29. Aralica A. 91. Bidounga R. 6. Eiro 20. Kostadinov D. 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 16. Medfai M. 26. Miloshev K. 42. Neychev N. 17. Papazov M. 71. Penev N. 11. Taoui A.
Coaches
Iliev I.	Penev L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Sidney C. ⚽,
15', Lyaskov A. 🟨,
34', Stanoev K. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Bounaas I. ⚽,
45+3', Katsarov B. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yordanov I. ↓, Bidounga R. ↑,
46', Minchev G. ↓, Kostadinov D. ↑,
46', Daskalov R. ↓, Eiro ↑,
57', Tomov K. 🟨,
58', Sidney C. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
61', Caue Caruzo ↓, Aralica A. ↑,
62', Kerchev V. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Delev S. ⚽,
69', Donchev A. 🟨,
77', 2 - 2, Kostadinov D. ⚽,
78', Kostov K. ↓, Neychev N. ↑,
79', Andreev P. ↓, Barandas M. ↑,
79', Achi M. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
86', Kerchev V. ↓, Joao Bandaro ↑,
87', Aralica A. 🟨,
90+4', Lazarov G. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Cherno More is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Cherno More: 0.23% Lok. Sofia: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Lok. Sofia	10	1	4	5	11:18	-7	7
13	Cherno More	10	1	3	6	11:20	-9	6

Last Results with these Odds

Cherno More Varna - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.11%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.09.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Cherno More Varna - Dunav Ruse	3:1 ✺
14.08.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Cherno More Varna	4:1 ✺
09.08.26	Cherno More Varna - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.09.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Dunav Ruse - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:2 ✺
17.08.26	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:3 ✺
31.07.26	Slavia Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.11.25	Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1
18.07.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:1
03.12.24	Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	4:0
04.08.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna	2:1
04.04.24	Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:0
01.10.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna	0:0
29.10.22	Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:1

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