Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Ardoi		Cirbonero

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.35	4.25
	1.84	3.11	4.26
	6.34	1.26	7.75	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.82	3.14	4.29
	1.84	3.1	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.16)	2.84 ↓ (3.14)	4.8 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ardoi
41.1%

Draw
37%

Cirbonero
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ardoi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Cirbonero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cirbonero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cirbonero than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cirbonero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ardoi - Cirbonero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ardoi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ardoi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ardoi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Cirbonero	5	0	2	3	1:11	-10	2

Last Results with these Odds

Ardoi - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.05%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.01.26	Artajonés - Ardoi	4:2 ✺
17.01.26	Ardoi - Subiza	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Ardoi - San Juan	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Beti Onak - Ardoi	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Ardoi - Avance Ezcabarte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTLT
- CA Cirbonero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
25.01.26	Cirbonero - Beti Kozkor	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Peña Sport - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Egüés - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Cirbonero - Huarte	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Cortes - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.09.25	Cirbonero - Ardoi	1:0
23.03.25	Cirbonero - Ardoi	2:1
09.11.24	Ardoi - Cirbonero	1:0
03.03.24	Cirbonero - Ardoi	1:2
12.10.23	Ardoi - Cirbonero	6:0
01.11.18	Cirbonero - Ardoi	1:1

Ardoi - Cirbonero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide