Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Peña Sport		Cirbonero

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.85	5.9
	1.48	4.01	6.2	Watch
	1.44	3.7	6.5
	1.43	3.92	6.79
	1.46	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	3.9 ↓ (4)	6.28 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Sport
62.3%

Draw
23.3%

Cirbonero
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22.2%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cirbonero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cirbonero than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Peña Sport - Cirbonero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 1.

Peña Sport is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cirbonero is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Peña Sport is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Peña Sport won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Cirbonero	5	0	2	3	1:11	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
10.01.26	Peña Sport - Artajonés	5:2 ✺
04.01.26	Subiza - Peña Sport	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Peña Sport - San Juan	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Beti Onak - Peña Sport	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Peña Sport - Avance Ezcabarte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTW
- CA Cirbonero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
10.01.26	Egüés - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Cirbonero - Huarte	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Cortes - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Cirbonero - Oberena	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Izarra - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
06.12.24	Peña Sport - Cirbonero	2:2
Club Friendly
13.08.24	Cirbonero - Peña Sport	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.04.24	Cirbonero - Peña Sport	2:0
18.11.23	Peña Sport - Cirbonero	2:2
07.02.21	Cirbonero - Peña Sport	0:2
07.04.19	Peña Sport - Cirbonero	3:0

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