Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Ardoi		Gernika

	1	X	2
	4.6	2.8	1.85
	4.25	2.8	1.95
	4	3.1	1.85
	5.31	3.04	1.83
	3.68	3.26	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↓ (5.95)	3 ↓ (3.22)	1.89 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ardoi
21%

Draw
30.6%

Gernika
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

27.8%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

26.9%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ardoi's performance.

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gernika might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ardoi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gernika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ardoi - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Ardoi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gernika is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gernika is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ardoi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.03.22	Osasuna B - Ardoi	5:0 ✺
05.03.22	Ardoi - Sestao	0:2 ✺
27.02.22	Racing Santander B - Ardoi	3:0 ✺
20.02.22	Ardoi - Cayón	5:0 ✺
16.02.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Ardoi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.03.22	Gernika - Racing Rioja	5:2 ✺
06.03.22	Burgos Promesas - Gernika	1:3 ✺
27.02.22	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	San Juan - Gernika	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Gernika - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.10.21	Gernika - Ardoi	2:0

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