Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Gernika

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.55
	2.8	3	2.4
	2.75	2.95	2.44
	2.98	2.99	2.53
	2.88	3.04	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.5)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.48 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
32.7%

Draw
30.5%

Gernika
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

20.5%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos Promesas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gernika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgos Promesas - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gernika could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.02.22	Osasuna B - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Burgos Promesas - Sestao	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Racing Santander B - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
05.02.22	Burgos Promesas - Cayón	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Peña Sport - Burgos Promesas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TLWTW
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.02.22	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	San Juan - Gernika	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Gernika - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Laredo - Gernika	3:3 ✺
30.01.22	Gernika - Tropezón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.10.21	Gernika - Burgos Promesas	1:1

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