Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.85	2.85	2.49
	2.91	2.85	2.54	Watch
	2.99	2.89	2.58
	2.85	2.85	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.52)	2.84 ↓ (2.99)	2.52 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
31.7%

Draw
32.1%

Arenas Club de Getxo
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

30.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

29.9%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gernika's performance.

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenas Club de Getxo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Club de Getxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Seguin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 2, Badiola I. ⚽,
82', 0 - 3, Zabala M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gernika won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gernika could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Gernika won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gernika won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.03.25	SD Logroñés - Gernika	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gernika - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Utebo - Gernika	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Gernika - Eibar B	0:4 ✺
02.03.25	Tudelano - Gernika	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLLW
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.03.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Alavés B - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Alfaro - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Sociedad C	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.11.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	4:1
24.02.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:0
15.10.23	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:2
16.04.23	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2
04.12.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:2
27.02.22	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2
10.10.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:0

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