Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Egüés		Subiza

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.1	2.52
	2.56	3.04	2.63
	2.6	3.09	2.64	Watch
	2.49	3.63	2.54
	2.54	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.64)	3.17 ↓ (3.55)	2.6 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egüés
36%

Draw
28.8%

Subiza
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

25.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

24.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egüés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Subiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Egüés - Subiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Sola J. ⚽,
45+2', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 2, ⚽,
81', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Egüés won 2.

Recent form of Egüés has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Subiza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Egüés has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Egüés won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Egüés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Egüés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
13.12.25	San Juan - Egüés	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Egüés - Beti Onak	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Egüés - Ardoi	3:4 ✺
02.11.25	Egüés - Peña Sport	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Egüés - FC Andorra	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLL
- CD Subiza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
14.12.25	Subiza - Huarte	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cortes - Subiza	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Subiza - Oberena	4:0 ✺
09.11.25	Subiza - Bidezarra	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Txantrea - Subiza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
22.04.23	Egüés - Subiza	1:0
17.12.22	Subiza - Egüés	1:0
15.01.22	Subiza - Egüés	2:1
30.08.19	Egüés - Subiza	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
13.01.18	Egüés - Subiza	1:0
25.08.17	Subiza - Egüés	2:3

Egüés - Subiza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide