Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Arema		Persela Lamongan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.68	3.3	4.25
	1.71	3.35	4.4
	1.7	3.41	4.34
	1.81	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	4.22 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
51.8%

Draw
26.8%

Persela Lamongan
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

19%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Persela Lamongan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arema that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persela Lamongan than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persela Lamongan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arema - Persela Lamongan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Arema could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arema is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Arema won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Arema won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
29.09.21	Persipura Jayapura - Arema	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Arema - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
19.09.21	PSS Sleman - Arema	2:1 ✺
12.09.21	Arema - Bhayangkara	1:1 ✺
05.09.21	PSM Makassar - Arema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLTT
- Persela Lamongan
Indonesian Super League
28.09.21	Persela Lamongan - Persiraja Banda Aceh	1:0 ✺
24.09.21	Persija Jakarta - Persela Lamongan	2:1 ✺
17.09.21	Persela Lamongan - Persita Tangerang	0:1 ✺
10.09.21	Persela Lamongan - Persipura Jayapura	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	PSIS Semarang - Persela Lamongan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.02.20	Arema - Persela Lamongan	3:1
Indonesian Super League
20.09.19	Persela Lamongan - Arema	2:0
27.05.19	Arema - Persela Lamongan	3:2
Indonesian President Cup
09.03.19	Persela Lamongan - Arema	1:0
Indonesian Super League
16.11.18	Persela Lamongan - Arema	4:0
07.07.18	Arema - Persela Lamongan	1:0
Indonesian President Cup
20.01.18	Arema - Persela Lamongan	2:2

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