Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Maguwoharjo Stadium (Yogyakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	PSS Sleman		Arema

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.8	3.15	2.36	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.52
	2.88	3.15	2.5	Watch
	2.71	3.22	2.34	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.27)	3.18 ↓ (3.27)	2.41 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSS Sleman
32.9%

Draw
28.9%

Arema
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSS Sleman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSS Sleman's form might have worsened.

Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSS Sleman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

PSS Sleman - Arema Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sleman will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Arema will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alan (G) 17. Ofosu-Ayeh P. 19. Aryanto F. 4. Cleberson (C) 6. Gomes K. 33. Hamisi W. 7. Moon Chang-Jin 77. Sitanggang P. 9. Caraka H. 11. Tocantins 76. Dion D.	31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 19. Syarif A. 23. Rifai M. 5. Thales 87. Farisi A. (C) 32. Pablo Oliveira 72. Setiawan B. 10. Wilian Marcilio 8. Fikri A. 94. Dalberto 11. Lokolingoy C.
Substitutes
74. Ahmad F. 26. Arda F. 8. Betinho 10. Cawor R. 57. Daniswara F. D. (G) 87. Figo A. 27. Mila I. 78. Nanda I. 25. Oktavana G. 31. Romadhona S. (G) 14. Wamu D. 16. Zidan A.	22. Agung D. (G) 4. Anwar S. 13. Balinsa S. G. 20. Choi Bo-Kyung 6. Guevara J. 14. Hariono J. 96. Iksan M. 24. Rafli M. 41. Santoso D. 27. Setiawan D. 7. Tito Hamzah 30. Tuharea S.
Coaches
Lopes W.	Cornelli J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Dion D. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Ofosu-Ayeh P. ⚽, Gomes K. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Caraka H. ⚽, Hamisi W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Farisi A. ↓, Tuharea S. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Lokolingoy C. (Pen),
54', 3 - 1, Caraka H. ⚽, Moon Chang-Jin (A),
60', Pablo Oliveira 🟨,
61', Hamisi W. 🟨,
66', Dion D. ↓, Mila I. ↑,
68', Setiawan B. ↓, Iksan M. ↑,
71', Pablo Oliveira ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
72', Wilian Marcilio ↓, Setiawan D. ↑,
76', Caraka H. ↓, Cawor R. ↑,
83', Sitanggang P. 🟨,
87', Sitanggang P. ↓, Betinho ↑,
87', Ofosu-Ayeh P. ↓, Nanda I. ↑,
88', Syarif A. ↓, Tito Hamzah ↑,
90+2', Tocantins ↓, Wamu D. ↑,
90+3', Nanda I. 🟨,
90+5', Betinho 🟨,
90+9', Iksan M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sleman won 2.

Sleman is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arema is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sleman won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Sleman won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSS Sleman
Indonesian Super League
16.09.24	Bali United Pusam - PSS Sleman	0:0 ✺
12.09.24	PSS Sleman - Borneo Samarinda	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Semen Padang - PSS Sleman	1:0 ✺
19.08.24	PSS Sleman - Persik Kediri	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Persebaya Surabaya - PSS Sleman	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLL
- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
15.09.24	PSM Makassar - Arema	0:1 ✺
11.09.24	Bali United Pusam - Arema	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Persib Bandung - Arema	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Arema - Borneo Samarinda	0:2 ✺
12.08.24	Arema - Dewa United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
15.04.24	PSS Sleman - Arema	4:1
30.09.23	Arema - PSS Sleman	2:1
26.01.23	PSS Sleman - Arema	2:0
05.08.22	Arema - PSS Sleman	0:0
13.01.22	Arema - PSS Sleman	2:0
19.09.21	PSS Sleman - Arema	2:1
24.09.19	Arema - PSS Sleman	4:0

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