Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Arema		Persija Jakarta

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.95	3.89	1.85
	3.27	3.58	2.03	Watch
	3.95	3.74	1.82
	3.15	3.45	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.27)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	1.9 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
26%

Draw
25.4%

Persija Jakarta
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

25.9%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

24.8%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Persija Jakarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persija Jakarta than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Arema - Persija Jakarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 12. Marasabessy M. 23. Rifai M. 26. Luiz Gustavo 87. Farisi A. (C) 25. Matheus Blade 28. Betinho 6. Guevara J. 11. Tuharea S. 94. Dalberto 10. Valdeci	1. Carlos Eduardo (G) 88. Bruno Tubarao 5. Ridho R. (C) 21. Amat J. 77. Pamungkas D. 10. Gustavo Franca 15. Sousa 97. Fabio Silva 17. Allano 98. Eksel R. 99. Maxwell
Substitutes
29. Alfiansyah A. 22. Aswin 13. Balinsa S. G. 20. Fachrezi R. 14. Hariono J. 96. Iksan M. 4. Odivan 9. Paulinho Moccelin 24. Rafli M. 41. Santoso D. 30. Satryo A. (G) 27. Setiawan D.	11. Abdulmanan A. 16. Alan Cardoso 26. Ardhiyasa A. (G) 28. Dennis F. 2. Fahmi R. 56. Nico A. 18. Pahlevi J. 19. Sjahbandi H. 6. Thales 36. Warman A. 8. Witan 23. Yama H.
Coaches
Marquinhos S.	Mauricio Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Mauricio Souza 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Valdeci ⚽,
29', Marasabessy M. 🟨,
39', Lucas Frigeri 🟨,
45+5', Gustavo Franca 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Marasabessy M. ↓, Hariono J. ↑,
46', Gustavo Franca ↓, Witan ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Eksel R. ⚽, Bruno Tubarao (A),
50', 1 - 2, Eksel R. ⚽, Maxwell (A),
53', Tuharea S. 🟨,
59', Valdeci ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
69', Hariono J. 🟨,
75', Tuharea S. ↓, Setiawan D. ↑,
77', Matheus Blade ↓, Santoso D. ↑,
77', Maxwell ↓, Thales ↑,
83', 🟨,
83', Guevara J. 🟥,
86', Amat J. 🟨,
89', Rifai M. ↓, Balinsa S. G. ↑,
90+2', Amat J. 🟨,
90+3', Pamungkas D. ↓, Alan Cardoso ↑,
90+3', Eksel R. ↓, Yama H. ↑,
90+12', Allano 🟨,
90+12', Paulinho Moccelin 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arema won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Persija Jakarta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Persija Jakarta has had a series of away games.

Persija Jakarta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arema won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Arema won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
03.11.25	Semen Padang - Arema	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Arema - Borneo Samarinda	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	PSM Makassar - Arema	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Persis Solo - Arema	2:2 ✺
22.09.25	Arema - Persib Bandung	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWTL
- Persija Jakarta
Indonesian Super League
31.10.25	Persija Jakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Madura United - Persija Jakarta	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Persija Jakarta	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persija Jakarta	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	PSM Makassar - Persija Jakarta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
09.03.25	Persija Jakarta - Arema	1:3
26.10.24	Arema - Persija Jakarta	1:2
Indonesian President Cup
24.07.24	Persija Jakarta - Arema	2:2
Indonesian Super League
26.02.24	Arema - Persija Jakarta	3:2
20.08.23	Persija Jakarta - Arema	2:2
12.02.23	Persija Jakarta - Arema	2:0
28.08.22	Arema - Persija Jakarta	0:1

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