Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim (Padang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Semen Padang		Arema

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.25	2.4
	2.80	3.34	2.38	Watch
	2.68	3.26	2.57	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.8)	3.24 ↓ (3.34)	2.43 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Semen Padang
34.1%

Draw
28.2%

Arema
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.8%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

26.8%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Semen Padang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Semen Padang - Arema Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arema (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Semen Padang (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Semen Padang (votes: 1 - 50%). Arema (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Augusto A. (G) 25. Afandi Z. 24. Meneses A. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 3. Guntara L. (C) 30. Wakaso A. 63. Wahyudi R. 9. Stewart C. 16. Matos P. 86. Oropa A. 10. Gomes B.	31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 12. Marasabessy M. 26. Luiz Gustavo 87. Farisi A. (C) 25. Matheus Blade 28. Betinho 10. Valdeci 8. Fikri A. 9. Paulinho Moccelin 94. Dalberto 11. Tuharea S.
Substitutes
8. Ariansyah R. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 7. Chaby F. 77. Ferdiansyah 27. Hamdi Sula 15. Juliansyah F. 19. Ridwan M. 14. Saputra D. 20. Saputra H. 12. Simanjuntak S. 64. Tuna A. 6. Umanailo A.	29. Alfiansyah A. 15. Arjidan F. 13. Balinsa S. G. 20. Fachrezi R. 14. Hariono J. 96. Iksan M. 4. Odivan 21. Puleio I. 23. Rifai M. 41. Santoso D. 30. Satryo A. (G) 27. Setiawan D.
Coaches
Almeida E.	Marquinhos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', Tuharea S. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Valdeci ⚽, Dalberto (A),
42', 0 - 2, Dalberto ⚽, Fikri A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomes B. ↓, Chaby F. ↑,
46', Oropa A. ↓, Juliansyah F. ↑,
46', Wahyudi R. ↓, Umanailo A. ↑,
49', Fikri A. ↓, Balinsa S. G. ↑,
53', Marasabessy M. 🟨,
58', Matos P. 🟨,
67', Afandi Z. ↓, Ariansyah R. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Stewart C. (Pen),
69', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Puleio I. ↑,
69', Tuharea S. ↓, Arjidan F. ↑,
76', Valdeci ↓, Odivan ↑,
77', Marasabessy M. ↓, Rifai M. ↑,
85', Wakaso A. 🟨,
89', Matos P. ↓, Ridwan M. ↑,
90+3', Balinsa S. G. 🟨,
90+13', Chaby F. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 1.

Semen Padang has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arema is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Semen Padang won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Semen Padang
Indonesian Super League
26.10.25	Java United - Semen Padang	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Semen Padang - Bhayangkara	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Persita Tangerang - Semen Padang	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Semen Padang - Bali United Pusam	1:3 ✺
19.09.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Semen Padang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
26.10.25	Arema - Borneo Samarinda	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	PSM Makassar - Arema	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Persis Solo - Arema	2:2 ✺
22.09.25	Arema - Persib Bandung	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Arema - Dewa United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
24.05.25	Arema - Semen Padang	0:2
27.12.24	Semen Padang - Arema	1:2
28.10.19	Arema - Semen Padang	1:0
12.07.19	Semen Padang - Arema	0:1
04.11.17	Arema - Semen Padang	5:3
21.07.17	Semen Padang - Arema	2:0
Indonesian ISC
28.10.16	Semen Padang - Arema	1:3

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