The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madura United 21.3%
Draw 25%
Persija Jakarta 53.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
27.1%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
26.3%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Persija Jakarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persija Jakarta's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persija Jakarta than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
23.1%
61.5%
Madura United - Persija Jakarta Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Madura United will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Persija Jakarta will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Persija Jakarta: 35% – 88%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Persija Jakarta will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Saputra M. (G) 6. Ruxi 3. Monteiro P. 95. Mendonca 68. Rusadi A. 4. Wehrmann J. (C) 5. Palic K. 17. Sitanggang P. 87. Balotelli 9. Gryshyn V. 7. Nufiandani A.
26. Ardhiyasa A. (C) 2. Fahmi R. 5. Ridho R. 21. Amat J. 77. Pamungkas D. 17. Allano 15. Sousa 97. Fabio Silva 99. Maxwell 10. Gustavo Franca 70. Gustavo
Substitutes
77. Alesandro F. 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 18. Kemaluddin M. 99. Kusuma A. 11. Lulinha 24. Muslihuddin T. 44. Nurdiansyah 31. Pratama Y. 42. Ramzy F. 2. Sasongko N.
11. Abdulmanan A. 16. Alan Cardoso 88. Bruno Tubarao 28. Dennis F. 98. Eksel R. 56. Nico A. 22. Rizkianur H. (G) 19. Sjahbandi H. 6. Thales 36. Warman A. 8. Witan 23. Yama H.
Coaches
Vera A.
Mauricio Souza
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Allano 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Maxwell ⚽, Allano (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gryshyn V. ↓, Alesandro F. ↑,
46', Sitanggang P. ↓, Muslihuddin T. ↑,
61', Nufiandani A. ↓, Lulinha ↑,
62', Rusadi A. ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
72', Gustavo ↓, Alan Cardoso ↑,
78', Gustavo Franca ↓, Thales ↑,
81', Ruxi ↓, Kusuma A. ↑,
85', Fahmi R. ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
85', Sousa ↓, Sjahbandi H. ↑,
90+3', Hidayat T. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Madura United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Persija Jakarta could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Madura United won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
Indonesia
Watch
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Saputra M. (G) 
Ruxi 
Monteiro P. 
Mendonca 
Wehrmann J. (C) 
Palic K. 
Balotelli 
Gryshyn V. 
Vera A. 
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