Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 17

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Arenal		Llosetense

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	1.98
	3.49	3.06	2.03
	3.41	3.24	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (4.07)	3.13 ↓ (3.35)	2.01 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenal
26.5%

Draw
28.7%

Llosetense
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

27.2%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

26.4%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Llosetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llosetense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llosetense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Arenal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llosetense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Llosetense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Llosetense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Arenal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
13.01.24	Alcúdia - Arenal	2:1 ✺
22.12.23	Arenal - Sóller	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Santanyí - Arenal	3:0 ✺
02.12.23	Arenal - Manacor	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Alaior - Arenal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- CD Llosetense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.01.24	Llosetense - Binissalem	0:0 ✺
06.01.24	Inter Manacor - Llosetense	3:4 ✺
16.12.23	Llosetense - Mercadal	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Felanitx - Llosetense	2:3 ✺
26.11.23	Llosetense - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWWT

Arenal - Llosetense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide