Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 29Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday
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Llosetense |
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Mercadal |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.7 |
3.3 |
4.4 |
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1.6 |
3.6 |
4.75 |
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1.58 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
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1.51 |
3.87 |
6.04 |
Watch |
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1.65 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
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1.5 |
4.04 |
6.48 |
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1.71 |
3.4 |
4.38 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.69) |
3.59 ↑ (3.4) |
5.02 ↑ (4.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Llosetense 56.6% | Draw 25.3% | Mercadal 18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llosetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Llosetense - Mercadal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+5', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 66', 5 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 6 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llosetense won 2.Llosetense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Mercadal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Mercadal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Llosetense is seen as the favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Llosetense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Llosetense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Llosetense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
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| 12 | Mercadal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 | | | 23.11.25 | Mercadal - Llosetense | 0:0 | | 05.04.25 | Llosetense - Mercadal | 3:1 | | 24.11.24 | Mercadal - Llosetense | 4:0 | | 16.12.23 | Llosetense - Mercadal | 1:0 | | 04.03.23 | Llosetense - Mercadal | 0:2 | | 29.10.22 | Mercadal - Llosetense | 0:2 | | 09.04.22 | Llosetense - Mercadal | 2:0 |
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