Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 18

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Arenal		Platges de Calvià

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.53
	5.46	3.46	1.56
	5.85	3.62	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↓ (6.22)	3.53 ↓ (4)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenal
16.1%

Draw
25.5%

Platges de Calvià
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

22.7%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

22.1%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Platges de Calvià has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Platges de Calvià could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arenal - Platges de Calvià Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Arenal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Platges de Calvià is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Platges de Calvià is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arenal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Arenal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.01.24	Arenal - Llosetense	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Alcúdia - Arenal	2:1 ✺
22.12.23	Arenal - Sóller	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Santanyí - Arenal	3:0 ✺
02.12.23	Arenal - Manacor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.01.24	Binissalem - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Platges de Calvià - Inter Manacor	3:2 ✺
07.01.24	Mercadal - Platges de Calvià	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
09.09.23	Platges de Calvià - Arenal	2:0

Arenal - Platges de Calvià: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide