Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Portugalete

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3
	2.05	3.25	3.25
	2.31	2.75	3.15
	2.52	2.79	3.41
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.37	3.01	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.04)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	3.2 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
39.8%

Draw
31.6%

Portugalete
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

19.1%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Club de Getxo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portugalete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arenas Club de Getxo - Portugalete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Second stage) and 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group)).

Arenas Club is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portugalete is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arenas Club will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arenas Club won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arenas Club won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.03.21	Racing Santander - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
03.03.21	Leioa - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Real Sociedad B - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTTL
- Club Portugalete
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.03.21	Portugalete - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Real Sociedad B - Portugalete	2:0 ✺
10.03.21	Leioa - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
06.03.21	Portugalete - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	Laredo - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.01.21	Portugalete - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1
16.01.16	Arenas Club de Getxo - Portugalete	1:1
29.08.15	Portugalete - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1

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