Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday


	Leioa		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.3
	3.1	2.65	2.5
	3.25	2.7	2.3
	3.53	2.73	2.47
	3.4	2.62	2.4
	3.48	2.6	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.62)	2.68 ↓ (2.86)	2.4 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leioa
27.7%

Draw
34.2%

Arenas Club de Getxo
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

22.8%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leioa's form might have worsened.

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Club de Getxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	55.6%	25.9%

Leioa - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Leioa will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Arenas will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Second stage)).

Leioa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arenas Club is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Leioa won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Leioa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.02.21	Leioa - Alavés B	2:2 ✺
07.02.21	Racing Santander - Leioa	2:0 ✺
24.01.21	Real Unión de Irun - Leioa	5:0 ✺
16.01.21	Leioa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
09.01.21	Leioa - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLTT
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.02.21	Real Sociedad B - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
21.02.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Barakaldo	4:1 ✺
13.02.21	Laredo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
23.01.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.11.20	Arenas Club de Getxo - Leioa	1:0
Club Friendly
26.09.20	Leioa - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.11.19	Arenas Club de Getxo - Leioa	0:3
13.04.19	Leioa - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0
24.11.18	Arenas Club de Getxo - Leioa	1:1
21.04.18	Leioa - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1
25.11.17	Arenas Club de Getxo - Leioa	1:1

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