Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 21

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Bislett Stadium (Oslo)

Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lyn		Egersund

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.7	3.4
	1.88	3.75	3.30
	1.88	3.8	3.5
	1.9	4.17	3.63
	1.86	4.08	3.54	Watch
	1.86	4.05	3.55
	1.88	3.9	3.5	Watch
	1.86	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.43)	3.9 ↑ (3.65)	3.48 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyn
49.6%

Draw
23.8%

Egersund
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

24.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyn's performance.

Egersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Egersund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lyn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egersund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lyn - Egersund Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lyn will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Egersund will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - under (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedersen A. (C) 55. Haugen S. 6. Midtskogen A. 3. Race E. 18. Nilsen H. 19. Kallevag O. 24. Fredriksen D. 9. Olsen A. 17. Nois J. 10. Johansen M. 11. Hellum A.	1. Zapytowski M. (G) 25. Gregersen J. 31. Jonsson I. 3. Maeland B. 2. Kleppa H. 8. Sleveland C. (C) 27. Vatne S. 21. Eggen K. 14. Lynum J. 10. Michalsen S. R. 28. Hardarson H.
Substitutes
25. Andersen M. (G) 27. Barnett I. 22. Kurtovic W. 26. Memedov A. 7. Monglo I. 4. Sell W. 21. Skaug J. 30. Sock F.	12. Eriksen M. (G) 29. Hetland A. B. 18. Hovland P. 20. Jorgensen J. 22. Tadesse H. 23. Toft Noreng O. 7. Tornvig N.
Coaches
Aadland M.	Johansen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Hardarson H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Nois J. ↓, Skaug J. ↑,
62', Vatne S. 🟨,
69', Michalsen S. R. ↓, Tornvig N. ↑,
69', Hardarson H. ↓, Tadesse H. ↑,
69', Kleppa H. ↓, Hovland P. ↑,
70', Olsen A. 🟨,
73', Gregersen J. 🟨,
74', Olsen A. ↓, Memedov A. ↑,
79', Eggen K. ↓, Baxter B. ↑,
80', Hellum A. 🟨,
81', Vatne S. ↓, Gyamfi R. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Jonsson I. (Own goal),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyn won 2.

Lyn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Egersund has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lyn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lyn won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Egersund	24	8	5	11	36:49	-13	29
10	Lyn	24	8	4	12	39:49	-10	28

Last Results with these Odds

Lyn - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.26	Kongsvinger - Lyn	4:4 ✺
26.08.26	Åsane - Lyn	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Lyn - Odd	5:1 ✺
08.08.26	Stabæk - Lyn	4:3 ✺
02.08.26	Lyn - Sogndal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWWLW
- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.26	Egersund - Åsane	2:2 ✺
26.08.26	Haugesund - Egersund	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Våg - Egersund	2:5 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.08.26	Egersund - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
09.08.26	Strømsgodset - Egersund	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.05.26	Egersund - Lyn	0:0
Norwegian NM Cup
15.11.25	Egersund - Lyn	3:2
24.09.25	Egersund - Lyn	0:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.08.25	Lyn - Egersund	1:1
26.07.25	Egersund - Lyn	0:5
02.10.24	Lyn - Egersund	2:1
04.05.24	Egersund - Lyn	1:1

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