Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 18

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: B&G Parken (Egersund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Egersund		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.25	1.36	Watch
	6	4.75	1.4
	6.9	5.3	1.36	Watch
	7.42	5.34	1.37
	5.89	4.81	1.46	Watch
	6	4.5	1.4
	7.22	5.15	1.37	Watch
	5.8	4.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.47 ↑ (4.96)	5 ↑ (4.63)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egersund
14.4%

Draw
18.6%

Lillestrøm SK
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

20.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

19.7%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lillestrøm SK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	23.5%	70.6%

Egersund - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Egersund will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Egersund (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Egersund (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lillestrøm (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hermansen A. (G) 5. Jenssen N. 31. Jonsson I. 3. Maeland B. (C) 2. Kleppa H. 26. Salmon J. 13. Pichkah P. 29. Haheim-Elveseter M. 18. Hovland P. 14. Rogulj A. 7. Tornvig N.	12. Hedenstad M. (G) 2. Ranger L. 4. Garnas E. B. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 19. Tonnesen K. 8. Karlsbakk M. 6. Hoff V. 23. Asen G. 15. Drammeh S. 10. Olsen T. 17. Kitolano E.
Substitutes
37. Abu M. 11. Bergersen A. 91. Davis S. 21. Eggen K. 17. Halgunset I. 12. Klausen P. (G) 77. Nyenetue F. 45. Sauer M. 27. Vatne S.	7. Alperud L. 33. Diop M. 11. Elkaer F. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 64. Larsson E. 26. Paintsil Y. 30. Svenningsen L. 27. Waehler M. 32. Woxen H.
Coaches
Eide E.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Tonnesen K. ⚽, Karlsbakk M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Rogulj A. ↓, Nyenetue F. ↑,
66', Asen G. ↓, Alperud L. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Karlsbakk M. ⚽,
74', Hovland P. ↓, Bergersen A. ↑,
74', Eggen K. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
79', Olsen T. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
79', Drammeh S. ↓, Paintsil Y. ↑,
80', Kleppa H. 🟨,
84', Tornvig N. ↓, Abu M. ↑,
89', Karlsbakk M. ↓, Woxen H. ↑,
89', Tonnesen K. ↓, Elkaer F. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Recent performances by Egersund have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lillestrøm is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Lillestrøm is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Egersund won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.08.25	Egersund - Odd	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Hødd - Egersund	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Egersund - Lyn	0:5 ✺
22.07.25	Egersund - Aalesunds	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Moss - Egersund	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLTW
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.08.25	Åsane - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Lillestrøm SK - Raufoss	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Start - Lillestrøm SK	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
09.07.25	Lillestrøm SK - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.25	Lillestrøm SK - Egersund	1:0

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