Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Norac stadion (Arendal)

Referee: Lien M. (Nor)


	Arendal		Skeid

	1	X	2
	3	4	2.05
	3	3.8	1.98
	2.75	3.55	1.9
	3.04	4.23	2.08
	3.1	3.7	1.95
	3.05	3.94	2.05
	3	3.85	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.83)	3.87 ↓ (4.08)	2 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
30.6%

Draw
23.7%

Skeid
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.4%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

22.8%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Skeid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Arendal - Skeid Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arendal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Skeid will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Skeid: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-6.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Arendal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Skeid will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arendal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Arendal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.22	Skeid - Arendal	6:0 ✺
29.10.22	Ullensaker Kisa - Arendal	0:3 ✺
26.10.22	Arendal - Ullensaker Kisa	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.10.22	Odd 2 - Arendal	1:5 ✺
15.10.22	Arendal - Egersund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWW
- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.22	Skeid - Arendal	6:0 ✺
29.10.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Skeid	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Skeid - Kongsvinger	4:0 ✺
17.10.22	Brann - Skeid	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Skeid - Start	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.22	Skeid - Arendal	6:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
25.09.21	Arendal - Skeid	2:2
19.06.21	Skeid - Arendal	1:2
13.10.18	Skeid - Arendal	1:0
23.06.18	Arendal - Skeid	0:1

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