Match Info

Date: 22 June 2022, Wednesday


	Arendal		Start

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.75	1.3
	7	5.25	1.3
	8	5.5	1.33
	7.6	5.4	1.28
	8.35	5.57	1.29
	8	4.75	1.3
	8.5	5.65	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.99 ↑ (4.11)	5.41 ↑ (3.78)	1.3 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
11.6%

Draw
17.1%

Start
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

24%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

23.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arendal's form might have worsened.

Start has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Start's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arendal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Start, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Arendal - Start Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Arendal will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Start will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Start: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arendal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Start is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arendal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Start is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arendal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Arendal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
18.06.22	Arendal - Strømmen	2:0 ✺
12.06.22	Moss - Arendal	0:1 ✺
04.06.22	Arendal - Vard Haugesund	3:1 ✺
28.05.22	Ullern - Arendal	0:3 ✺
22.05.22	Arendal - Øygarden	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.06.22	Start - Stabæk	0:0 ✺
29.05.22	Bryne - Start	2:0 ✺
26.05.22	Start - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
23.05.22	Ranheim - Start	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.05.22	Randesund - Start	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
02.05.18	Arendal - Start	0:3
Club Friendly
16.02.18	Start - Arendal	5:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.10.17	Arendal - Start	0:2
27.06.17	Start - Arendal	3:1

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