Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 25

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sparebanken Sør Arena (Kristiansand)

Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Start		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6
	1.42	4.6	5.75
	1.43	4.75	6.1
	1.39	5.15	7.26
	1.48	4.47	5.92	Watch
	1.42	4.6	6.58
	1.42	4.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.43)	4.7 ↓ (4.73)	6.23 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start
65.3%

Draw
19.8%

Raufoss
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

19.8%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

19.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Start have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Start - Raufoss Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Start (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Start (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 13. Griesbeck S. 6. Norheim J. 21. Sjokvist S. 10. Mvoue S. 14. Soomets M. 18. Ugland M. 16. Strannegard T. 11. Schulze E. (C) 20. Lorentzen H.	1. Klemensson A. (G) 22. Fors V. 4. Hansen A. 15. Hay K. 11. Fremstad N. (C) 3. Bonde R. 23. Selnaes J. S. 14. Lynum J. 17. Nordbo S. 8. Nelson R. 9. Hustad E.
Substitutes
9. Adebayo A. 19. Dashaev D. 29. Gono E. 5. Jebali O. 27. Jemal E. 15. Nordal M. 2. Palerud F. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 3. Ujkani A.	10. Badjie K. 25. Engebakken T. E. 28. Jensen P. (G) 18. Mensah E. 5. Rotihaug O. 29. Sorum E. 27. Steinset K.
Coaches
Karadas A.	Dent T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Hustad E. 🟥,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Hansen S. ⚽, Sjokvist S. (A),
62', Selnaes J. S. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Hansen S. ⚽,
67', Strannegard T. ↓, Dashaev D. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Lorentzen H. ⚽, Dashaev D. (A),
72', Bonde R. ↓, Rotihaug O. ↑,
72', Nordbo S. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
76', Lorentzen H. ↓, Nordal M. ↑,
80', Hay K. ↓, Badjie K. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Mvoue S. ⚽, Dashaev D. (A),
81', Mvoue S. 🟨,
85', Sjokvist S. ↓, Palerud F. ↑,
85', Norheim J. ↓, Ujkani A. ↑,
85', Schulze E. ↓, Adebayo A. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Start won 0.

Start is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Raufoss is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Start is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Start won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Start won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.09.25	Egersund - Start	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Start - Ranheim	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Start - Kongsvinger	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Stabæk - Start	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Start	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.09.25	Raufoss - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Stabæk - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Raufoss - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Hødd - Raufoss	2:4 ✺
23.08.25	Raufoss - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.05.25	Raufoss - Start	0:0
26.08.24	Start - Raufoss	1:2
23.06.24	Raufoss - Start	2:1
20.08.23	Raufoss - Start	2:1
30.04.23	Start - Raufoss	1:3
17.09.22	Raufoss - Start	1:2
26.05.22	Start - Raufoss	2:2

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