The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aretxabaleta 51.5%
Draw 26.1%
Añorga 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57%
24%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
24.4%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aretxabaleta's form might have worsened.
Añorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aretxabaleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Aretxabaleta - Añorga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 2)
50', 2 - 1, ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, ⚽,
81', 4 - 1, ⚽,
83', 🟥,
86', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 5 - 3, ⚽,
90+9', 6 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Aretxabaleta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Añorga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Aretxabaleta is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
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