Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 3

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Durango		Aretxabaleta

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.20	3.30
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	2.01	3.23	3.34
	2.02	3.34	3.42	Watch
	1.97	3.15	3.25
	2	3.2	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	3.35 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durango
45.2%

Draw
27.9%

Aretxabaleta
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Aretxabaleta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Durango is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Durango has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Durango against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	UD Aretxabaleta	5	2	2	1	4:3	1	8
10	Durango	5	1	3	1	8:8	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Durango - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.09.26	Santurtzi - Durango	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Durango - Pasaia	4:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.05.26	Durango - Santurtzi	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Durango - Pasaia	0:0 ✺
16.04.26	Lagun Onak - Durango	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWTW
- UD Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.09.26	Aretxabaleta - Beasain	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Touring KE - Aretxabaleta	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Pasaia - Aretxabaleta	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Aretxabaleta - Lagun Onak	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Deusto - Aretxabaleta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.01.26	Durango - Aretxabaleta	1:1
14.09.25	Aretxabaleta - Durango	1:1
12.04.25	Durango - Aretxabaleta	3:1
01.12.24	Aretxabaleta - Durango	1:2

Durango - Aretxabaleta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide