Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Aretxabaleta		Pasaia

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.20	3.25
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	2.05	3.2	3.29
	2.06	3.33	3.32	Watch
	2	3.1	3.2
	2.01	3.22	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.7)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	3.28 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aretxabaleta
44.7%

Draw
28%

Pasaia
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

26.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aretxabaleta's form might have worsened.

Pasaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 3 - 2, ⚽,
74', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 6th).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aretxabaleta holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Aretxabaleta has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aretxabaleta against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	UD Aretxabaleta	8	4	2	2	10:7	3	14
13	Pasaia	8	3	1	4	10:16	-6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
26.09.26	Aretxabaleta - Derio	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Durango - Aretxabaleta	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Aretxabaleta - Beasain	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Touring KE - Aretxabaleta	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Pasaia - Aretxabaleta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTTWL
- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.09.26	Pasaia - Real Sociedad C	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Leioa - Pasaia	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Pasaia - Erandio	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Durango - Pasaia	4:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
25.04.26	Durango - Pasaia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
15.04.26	Pasaia - Aretxabaleta	3:2
14.12.25	Aretxabaleta - Pasaia	1:0
23.02.25	Aretxabaleta - Pasaia	2:1

Aretxabaleta - Pasaia