Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 31Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday
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Pasaia |
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Aretxabaleta |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.18 |
3.1 |
3 |
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 |
2.14 |
3.1 |
3.28 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.50 |
2.86 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.9 |
3.25 |
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2.15 |
3.02 |
3.28 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.3) |
3.12 ↓
(3.5) |
3.13 ↑
(2.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pasaia
41.8% | Draw
29.1% | Aretxabaleta
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pasaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aretxabaleta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aretxabaleta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Pasaia - Aretxabaleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).Pasaia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Aretxabaleta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Aretxabaleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Pasaia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
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| 7 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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