Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Citta di Arezzo (Arezzo)

Referee: Di Loreto M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	OneFootball TV


	Arezzo		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.20	3.10
	2.2	2.95	3.3	Watch
	2.37	3.06	3.57
	2.27	3.06	3.38	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.5
	2.26	3.04	3.35	Watch
	2.24	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.22)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	3.37 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
41.4%

Draw
30.7%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

30.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Arezzo - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Nunziante A. (G) 4. Coppolaro M. 13. Gilli M. 5. Illanes J. 37. Righetti S. 16. Sala M. 23. Viviani M. 17. Ionita A. (C) 10. Pattarello E. 71. Cianci P. 99. Olivieri M.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 4. Stivanello R. 55. Giorgini A. 27. Stabile G. 79. Molina S. (C) 10. Rispoli F. 5. Tronchin S. 20. Bjarkason B. 11. Lopes V. 17. Anghele L. 90. Okoro A.
Substitutes
30. Arena A. 32. Cagnano A. 9. Cerri A. 24. Chierico L. 8. Eklu S. M. 7. Leone K. 33. Mancini D. 11. Mancuso L. 47. Manes A. 2. Mena M. 90. Seculin A. (G) 22. Serban F. (G)	46. Brik D. 9. Burnete R. 23. Davi F. 24. Davi S. 25. Mixtur K. 19. Pellini M. 1. Ploner L. (G) 80. Schroot E. 21. Tait F. 12. Vadjunec R. (G) 14. Vasic A. 3. Veroli D.
Coaches
Bucchi C.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Ionita A. 🟨,
29', Anghele L. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Rispoli F. ⚽, Molina S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Bjarkason B. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
46', Anghele L. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
46', Viviani M. 🟨,
51', Lopes V. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Lopes V. ⚽, Vasic A. (A),
56', Cianci P. ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
57', Viviani M. ↓, Chierico L. ↑,
59', Okoro A. ↓, Mixtur K. ↑,
62', Olivieri M. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Mixtur K. ⚽, Lopes V. (A),
71', Lopes V. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
78', Sala M. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
78', Pattarello E. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Giorgini A. ⚽, Rispoli F. (A),
81', 1 - 4, Mancuso L. ⚽, Arena A. (A),
83', Stabile G. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Südtirol may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Arezzo has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Arezzo holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Arezzo: Iaccarino G. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Südtirol: El Kaouakibi H. (Knee Injury) Pyyhtia N. (Injury) Varnier M. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Arezzo: Tavernelli C. (Inactive).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Arezzo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:12 (averaging 1:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arezzo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:7 goals (averaging 0.5:3.5 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Sudtirol: 2.65% Arezzo: 0.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	9:3	6	11
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	6:13	-7	6

Last Results with these Odds

Arezzo - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie B
11.09.26	Empoli - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Verona - Arezzo	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Arezzo - Palermo	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Avellino - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Cagliari - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLWL
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Genoa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
12.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Arezzo	1:0
06.12.20	Arezzo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4
Italian Serie C Group A
10.05.15	Arezzo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:3
06.01.15	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Arezzo	4:3

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